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News Across the Spectrum that May Help Explain the Mess We're In. Or Not.
aspo
alternet
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chris martenson
the economic collapse
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December 6, 2008 PDF Print E-mail
Dear Peacemakers,



I keep promising a newsletter with some good news and as you know full well I have yet to send one out. I think the problem is that as I muck my way through the financial cesspool it is easy to get overwhelmed by the stench. I spend so much time looking into the abyss that it periodically knocks the wind out of my sails.  Yesterday was a case in point. In spite of some of the worst financial indicators this year (November unemployment up by 533,000; residential foreclosures up to 10%; Merrill Lynch finally disappears; and 2,000 more layoffs at GM;  the Dow goes up 260 points. Many traders at the stock exchanges see this clearly as manipulation by the President's Working Group on Financial Markets( otherwise known as the Plunge Protection Team-- PPT).

This is one of those one of those areas like UFO's and 9/11 that can cause one to be branded a wing nut depending on where you hang your hat.  It may be harder to dismiss adherents of the PPT since it was created by Ronald Reagan as an  official  Executive Order and there are other historical examples of market manipulation that cannot be denied. Still, there are economic analysts that I respect and rely on that vehemently deny this type of government interference in free markets--even though the Federal Reserve refuses to identify the recipients of almost $2 trillion of loans.  I sometimes begin to doubt myself when wading through the Big Muddy of reality and conspiracy so I leave it to you to sort out which is which. No matter where you come down on the myriad conspiracy theories that are out there, there can be no doubt that the Great Unwind of 2007-2009 is happening at a velocity and depth which cannot be denied and has investment giants such as George Soros and John Whitehead, former CEO of Goldman Sachs, talking not recession but depression the likes of which has never been seen.

On the war front the stories that seem significant are the secret authorization for undisclosed, cross border attacksal-Qaeda promising spectacular attacks before the January 20 InaugurationIsrael announcing plans to attack Iran without the help of the US and confirmation in the MSM that the Pentagon plans to use US combat troops to maintain order here in the US of A.  I remain convinced that the period from now until January 20 is the most dangerous time frame the world has ever faced. If Iran is attacked there is no predicting where it will all go.  One of the best antidotes to fearing enemies is getting to know them better which is why I love this piece by  Rick Steves.  He is a travel consultant who made a recent trip to Iran that will be shown on PBS in January.  Check out his Iran Journal and tell EVERYONE that all military options against Iran must be off the table.

So let's close out this section with some of that good news I've been promising. One reader wrote back that we should,  "come up with our top 50 things we want the new regime to do THAT COST THE "TREASURY" VIRTUALLY NO MONEY TO INITIATE.  Communities around the country could develop the lists, collate them into a national list, and form a much broader political movement geared toward enacting the initiatives.  Start now and have the national list in place by March.  Start with:
    Make all derivative financial instruments illegal.
    Outlaw torture.
    Outlaw the production of cluster bombs and sign the treaties to outlaw them worldwide (this one just happened!!)."

Sounds like a good idea to me. Please consider sending in your suggestions to contribute to "50 Things To Do That Costs No Money".a blog site from a friend of ours in Oklahoma. He is a  long time Catholic Worker so he knows how to live on the cheap and help people out at the same time. Surf around his site and check out all the other good stuff while you are there--very practical. Please send your favorite websites that will help us all get through Great Depression 2.0. I keep reflecting back on my time in Iraq during the sanctions period. I keep coming back to the thought--"a broken economy looks like war".  We're really going to need each other.

best regards,

Mike and Barb
Northwoods Peace Initiative
We'll figure out a good way to post them on line. Another good suggestion came from
Here is the next big bubble to burst
The Worst Is Yet To Come: Anonymous Banker Weighs In On The Coming Credit Card Debacle

I recently had a client apply for a credit card. She is a homemaker, with no personal income. The house she lives in is in her husband’s name. She would have asked for a $3,000 credit line, just to pay miscellaneous expenses and to establish some credit on her own. So the computer is told that her household income is $150,000; her mortgage/rent payment is zero. The fact is that her husband’s mortgage payment is $7,000 a month (which he got with a no income verification loan). She had a good credit score, but limited credit since she has only lived in this country for the last three years. The system gave her an approval for a $26,000 line of credit!   This has got to stop. People are going to be learning hard lessons over the next years. It would help, though, if the banks could change their behavior now, before things get any worse. Tomorrow is already too late.

Credit-card industry may cut $2 trillion lines: analyst
The U.S. credit-card industry may pull back well over $2 trillion of lines over the next 18 months due to risk aversion and regulatory changes, leading to sharp declines in consumer spending, prominent banking analyst Meredith Whitney said. The credit card is the second key source of consumer liquidity, the first being jobs, the Oppenheimer & Co analyst noted. "In other words, we expect available consumer liquidity in the form of credit-card lines to decline by 45 percent."


Oil prices will spike again just when we least expect it
Economists Without a Clue
In the months and perhaps years ahead we will see a titanic battle to the finish between the free marketers and the state controllers over who is right about the economy, and about who is capable of restoring the beatific condition of perpetual growth. Sadly, neither camp has the answer this time around. Humanity has reached a significant physical limit to growth—Peak Oil—that will spell ruin to all economic philosophies that fail to take such limits into account.

Ex-official says Mexico may have to halt oil exports
John Padilla, director of finance and advisory for IPD Latin America, argues that with Mexico's oil production falling, and its demand for gasoline and other petroleum products on the rise, Mexico could cease to be an oil exporter around 2010 or 2011. The United States currently imports 11% of our oil from Mexico.


You gotta read this. Anecdotal tales of brilliance and defeat by some of Wall Street's Whiz Kids.
The End
To this day, the willingness of a Wall Street investment bank to pay me hundreds of thousands of dollars to dispense investment advice to grownups remains a mystery to me. I was 24 years old, with no experience of, or particular interest in, guessing which stocks and bonds would rise and which would fall. The essential function of Wall Street is to allocate capital—to decide who should get it and who should not. Believe me when I tell you that I hadn’t the first clue.I’d never taken an accounting course, never run a business, never even had savings of my own to manage. I stumbled into a job at Salomon Brothers in 1985 and stumbled out much richer three years later, and even though I wrote a book about the experience, the whole thing still strikes me as preposterous—which is one of the reasons the money was so easy to walk away from. I figured the situation was unsustainable. Sooner rather than later, someone was going to identify me, along with a lot of people more or less like me, as a fraud. Sooner rather than later, there would come a Great Reckoning when Wall Street would wake up and hundreds if not thousands of young people like me, who had no business making huge bets with other people’s money, would be expelled from finance.

 



 
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